数理社会学会税制と不公平感课件.ppt

1、ASA 08/2013Lost in the Great East Japan Earthquake and Anxiety about the Future:An Analysis of 2011 Survey of the Earthquake Damage and Social Consciousness in Sendai CityYoichi Murase(Rikkyo University,Japan)1.Purpose2.Data and Methods3.ResultslBasic AnalysislSEM of Anxiety for Future Life4.Conclus

2、ions1.Purpose1.1.Research BackgrounduRising Inequality in many countries.uRecession after the Great EarthquakeuDo Damage and Anxiety for Future Instability associate with Social Status?Economic status and social network have effect?uSome disaster studies said damages were large in poor areas.Ex.Hurr

3、icane Katrina in the USuJapan is relatively equal society,social class,racial,and religious conflicts are not large.99%of people are Japanese.uHowever,Urban Rural gap is large.uI focused comparing the Sendai and rural area.uSendai:Largest city in Tohoku District,population One million.Tertiary Indus

4、try City,no large factory area or labor class poor area.uSendai and most of large cities were not near the ocean.Population of the Coast area was 0.5%in Sendai.now 0%.Not a large Tsunami Damage.uHowever many people have effect from the disaster.Damage of property is not small.1.2.Purpose of this stu

5、dyuWhat is the determinants oflDamage of Property by the EarthquakelAnxiety(Future life,Future Income)uHypotheseslEconomic status(economic resource)lSocial network(relational resource,Social capital)lEducation(informational resource,Cultural capital)lWorking in Large Company very important in Japan2

6、.Data and Methods Citizens Consciousness Survey on Their Life and Disaster Prevention in Sendai and Senhoku by Rikkyo University and Tohoku UniversitylSendai in November 2011Sample size 2100 and 1532 answers(73%response rate)lSendai panel survey in 2012 mail survey for 1532,977 answerslSenhoku area(

7、rural near Sendai)in November 2012.mail survey Sample size was 2006 and 1341 answers(67%response rate).Not using research companies.Aided by Rikkyo University Special Focus Fund for Promoting Research(Rikkyo SFR)We hired 70 students and direct managed the surveySendai from Tohoku UniversityCentral D

8、istrict of SendaiTsunami area now population 03.Results3.1.Basic Analysis of Damage and AnxietyuDamage More than 40%answered less than$1000 US.20%answered more than$10,000 US.Largest in old residential area(near the ocean).uAnxeity in 2011 Sendai 70%answered Yes.Stronger in 2012 and Senhoku(rural ar

9、ea).No relation with the areas.uRelational Resource(Social network with influential people)lCloseness with influential people.lImportant for measuring peoples political power and background.lOld traditional people have more relations.Maybe not a new urban residents.3.2.Cause of Anxiety and Damage St

10、ructural Equation Model by SPSS AMOSuFinal Dependent Variable:lFactor of Anxiety Right sides of Figures Anxiety on Future Life Anxiety on Future IncomelDamage Amount(JP Yen)uIndependent Variables:Age,Education(years),Relational Resource,Property possession(Economic status;possession of fourteen item

11、s,house,PC,DVD player,etc.and used the total number of items),Household Income,etc.I omitted income because it is similar with property.For MaleuCause of the anxiety on future lifelProperty possession(economic status)(-.18)lIncome(-.17)lResidence year rate(.18)lOrganization SizelEducationlRelational

12、 resource had indirect effectslAmount of loss,Self employment dummy had no effectuCause of DamagelAgelno relationship with property possession,education,etc.For FemaleuCause of DamagelProperty possession lRelational resourcelResidence year rate lSelf employment dummylHome owner dummyuCause of the an

13、xiety on future lifelProperty possession(economic status)(-.13)lIncome(-.19)lEducation(-.14)lOrganization SizelRelational resource no effectlAmount of loss,Self employment dummy had no effect4.ConclusionA new finding is the absence of a relationship between damage amount and economic status or educa

14、tion(for Male).uMain Cause of Damage was Age.Old house,old area.uAnother finding is the relationship between anxiety and and economic status or relational resource.uCause of the anxiety on future lifelRelational resource(political power or connection)lEconomic StatuslOrganization sizelAge Anxiety(Th

15、e Sense of Future Instability)is large among small power,poor,old people and female.uWhat is the interpretation of network effect?lDistance for power centrallIndicator of New and Old residentlIndicator of hidden class:Elite Tokyo based people and Local peopleuSocial network is very important in curr

16、ent Japan(post industrialized mobilized society).uMany social mobility,but existence of local people not moved to other area.uSocial stratification of relational resource,not race or class,is important.Thank you very much for your attention,and for people cooperate with the survey,Prof Kawamura of Tohoku Univ and students,Scientific Fund for Research(SFR)of Rikkyo University.